Fantasy Soccer Outlook: What’s QB Matt Ryan’s Fantasy Rating after the Julio Jones Commerce?

With Julio Jones, this new Falcons offensive, led by Arthur Smith, seemed poised to capture the magic of 2016 that broke multiple records. Without Jones, Ryan’s fantasy world becomes clouded. Last season, Matty Ice had a pass mark of 90.9 PFF, 15 touchdowns, three interceptions, 106.4 passer rating, 8.3 yards per try – 21.1 fantasy points per game in standard leagues in games with Jones. Without him, the number of experienced quarterback went down – with 67.2 PFF passing note, 11 touchdowns, eight interceptions, 82.9 passer rating, 6.6 yards per attempt and 14.5 fantasy points per game in standard leagues.

There is a feeling that Arthur Smith’s addition will have a positive correlation with Ryan’s imaginary value, but how Julio Jones’s trading affects his imaginary outlook should be noted. I think Ryan’s bottom is solid enough to survive mid to late rounds in some design strategies, but the advantage is hampered by the uncertainty of Atlanta’s offensive under a head coach in the first year.

The fact that Smith should be an improvement on Dirk Koetter bodes well for Ryan’s prospects after the deal, but his supporting cast shouldn’t be underestimated either. Atlanta can handle the loss better than most teams of a player of the same caliber as Jones. With Calvin Ridley, Ryan still has his sights set on an elite pass catcher, as the pair revealed in 2020, while Jones missed the time with a persistent Achilles tendon injury – with an average target percentage of 30% and nearly 20 fantasy points per game.

Calvin Ridley | 2020
Yards per run Passport evaluation Receiving touchdowns Target share Fantasy points per game
With Julio Jones 2.29 135.8 6th 24% 23.3
Without Julio Jones 2.76 91.1 3 30% 19.8

The team also designed Kyle Pitts with the fourth pick in the 2021 draft, a certified freak. Former Florida Gator isn’t Julio Jones, but he threatens the defense in more ways than one. Pitts can hop on anywhere from the border to the backfield and run almost any route from any set. He’ll help Ryan’s numbers in the red zone and increase the unit’s third conversion rate, which inherently gives Ryan more chances of scoring points.

When talking about Ryan’s fantasy prospects, the only other thing to consider is his opponents, which isn’t great when you consider that Tampa Bay and New Orleans have two of the best defenses in the league. Atlanta also plays Washington in the fourth week of the season after playing an underrated Giants defense – a tough start. All in all, Ryan is likely to be drafted in the later rounds of fantasy drafts, but has great advantages as a potential banking option.

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