Houston Texans 2021 Fantasy Soccer Rookie Abstract ⋆ Soccer Absurdity

The Houston Texans are one of the most chaotic teams in NFL history. You dumped Bill O’Brien and somehow got off worse on the other side. They spent their off-season filling their roster with career backups, and now they spent drafting doing the same. Bill O’Brien looked at the shelves of his local grocery store in March 2020 and said, “Oh! Texans’ shelves should be so bare! “So he left her with absolutely nothing of value (they didn’t vote until round three!). There’s also the entire Deshaun Watson with nearly two dozen sexual assault allegations hanging over his head. The entire Houston Texans organization is a mess. So don’t expect much feel for the three fantasy football capable guys they included in the 2021 NFL draft.

What can we expect from the Houston Texans newbies in 2021: Davis Mills, Nico Collins and Brevin Jordan?

COMPLETE HOUSTON TEXANS DESIGN RESULTS
Rd Choose player Item University
1 12th Micah Parsons LB Penn State
2 44 Kelvin Joseph CB Kentucky
3 75 Osa Odighizuwa DT UCLA
3 84 Chauncey Golston OF Iowa
3 99 Nahshon Wright CB Oregon State
4th 115 Jabril Cox LB LSU
4th 138 Josh Ball OT Marshall
5 179 Simi Fehoko WR Stanford
6th 192 Quinton Bohanna DT Kentucky
6th 227 Israel Mukuamu CB South carolina
7th 238 Matt Farniok AND Nebraska
Round 3, Pick 67 Total: Davis Mills, Quarterback, Stanford (6’4 ”212 pounds)
Depth chart
QB1: Deshaun Watson *
QB2: Tyrod Taylor
QB3: Davis Mills
QB4: Ryan Finley

* 2021 is in the air

TALENT

Davis Mills and Kyle Trask represent the “next level” of quarterbacks after the five big top division clubs. Mills has a better arm than Trask, but Stanford has rarely asked him to use it. He has a great placement in midfield and can uncork a nice deep ball on occasion. But focus and reading are an issue, such as an inexcusable easy choice that he’s never seen security against Cal. Mills has great touch with decent accuracy and can get great ball placement. He’s not a great runner, but he does scoot a bit (think Mitchell Trubisky).

Stanford didn’t ask him to do much, instead relying on RB Nathaniel Peat. He has a good pocket presence and can do the little things to avoid the rush of passers-by. In the right situation, Mills can do a few things. But most likely he will start as the back half QB if he’s lucky. Think Nick Foles’ career arc for Mills with Jimmy Garoppolo’s skills (and perhaps Garoppolo’s career arc).

2021 OPPORTUNITY

Well, um … I have no idea. Nobody has a clue. There’s a King Kong-sized gorilla in the Houston Texans quarterback room. QB1 Deshaun Watson has nearly two dozen sexual assault allegations. The possibility for the rest of the quarterback room depends on the outcome of those allegations and what the league plans to do with Watson in the meantime. Watson could start anywhere between 17 and zero games in 2021, and the rest of the QB room will flow in from that point.

If it were up to me, Watson would come across the inspector’s list of exceptions, at least until the investigation. That would put Davis Mills in line to get some second half starts after the Texans found a new and interesting way to hurt Tyrod Taylor.

2021 FANTASY FOOTBALL OUTLOOK

Even if Davis Mills gets a chance from 2021, I don’t see a world where that is profitable for fantasy football teams. Mills is basically Jimmy Garoppolo who plays with the backups of the 49ers and is an overwhelming offensive coordinator. I’m not at all interested in Davis Mills in a fantasy football league, not even a 2QB league.

TALENT
2021 OPPORTUNITY
2021 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Round 3, Pick 89 Overall: Nico Collins, Wide Receiver, Michigan (6’4 ”215 pounds)
Depth chart
WR1: Brandin is boiling
WR2: Randall Cobb
WR3: Nico Collins
WR4: Andre Roberts
WR5: Keke Coutee / Chris Conley / Donte Moncrief
TALENT

Nico Collins is big and fast. It’s bigger than the tight end they pulled in and has a 40 yard shot of 4.45. I wasn’t particularly fond of Collins’ film when I saw it. He’s competent, but nothing jumped off the page. Collins struggled to open, didn’t run great routes (related), and had some issues with contested catches.

But boy is Collins a great athlete. Collins achieved an insane score of 9.57 (out of 10), which placed sixth in this broad class of recipients. His shuttle time was his only bad rating on his overall profile, although 14 reps on the bench matter. He’s a good player and a top athlete. These two can come together to make cute fantasy football music.

2021 OPPORTUNITY

Nico Collins is the second best wide angle receiver on this list. All respect for Randall Cobb, but he is best suited as a career WR3. Now comes the question: is Collins the WR2 for Davis Mills or Deshaun Watson? This is where the problem begins when trying to assess your chance for 2021. But if I had to make a list of five rookie-wide receivers that is a good bet to hit 100 goals, Collins has to be on that list. He’s got talent for beginners on a team full of backups so you might have to wait a little while the Texans put the Andre Robertses of the world on, but you can definitely hide him in 12-team and deeper fantasy soccer Redraft- Rosters.

2021 FANTASY FOOTBALL OUTLOOK

Roughly one in five recipients included in the first 100 picks ends up as the top 36 recipients in their beginner year. Mathematically speaking, that’s about three this year. If it’s an average year for broad recipients, I wouldn’t put Collins in the top three. But if it’s an unusual year with five rookie wide receivers in the top 36, I’d put Collins in there. He is purely speculative in a kind of “looters in turmoil”; He could get the production of a dysfunctional offense and a squad burning down around him. I just don’t design it to rely on top 36 production.

TALENT
2021 OPPORTUNITY
2021 FANTASY FOOTBALL OUTLOOK
Round 5, Selection 147 Overall: Brevin Jordan, Tight End, Miami (FL) (6’3 ”245 pounds)
Depth chart
TE1: Jordan Akins
TE2: Brevin Jordan
TE3: Kahale Warring
TE4: Pharaoh Brown
TALENT

Jordan is a little too small for the position, and by “a little too small” I mean “your rookie WR is bigger than him”. But we saw from his closest colleague (Jonnu Smith) that you can be too small and still produce. He’s athletic, although Kyle Pitts really skews things in your class. Jordan is weird in that college bottlenecks aren’t usually the guys to get their hands on the ball, but Jordan was.

He’s athletic, fast, shaky, elusive, suddenly, all those funny adjectives. Jordan can also take a big hit from a security or linebacker and keep ticking. He showed great heads-up skills and body control against UNC, where he ducked under budding tacklers twice to add tens of yards of YAC to his onslaught. I like his athleticism, but Jonnu couldn’t do much at this point in his career but flash, so I wonder if Brevin Jordan will be the same.

2021 OPPORTUNITY

Rookie bottlenecks in fantasy football rarely do anything. A close finish in this class has a chance to play a role in fantasy football 2021, and it’s not Brevin Jordan. It could grow and develop into something in year two, but for 2021 redraft leagues, you should look elsewhere.

2021 FANTASY FOOTBALL OUTLOOK

Stop trying to make rookie fantasy football tight ends a thing.

TALENT
2021 OPPORTUNITY
2021 FANTASY FOOTBALL OUTLOOK
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